The conflict that erupted in Sudan in April 2023 plunged neighboring South Sudan into a severe humanitarian and economic crisis. This analysis demonstrates how the influx of more than 1.28 million refugees and returnees has stretched the country’s capacity to the limit. The crisis was drastically exacerbated by the paralysis of the northern oil infrastructure, which caused a 60–70 percent drop in revenue, a foreign exchange crisis, and devastating hyperinflation. Amid the economic collapse, the political elite postponed elections until the end of 2026. The study concludes that the weakening of the regional buffer zone triggers forced secondary migration, which directly increases the migration pressure on the European Union.
The full text of the analysis in Hungarian is available here
