The study examines the trans-regional spillover effects of the US-Israeli war on Iran. It examines the economic and security implications of the conflict in Central Asia, the South Caucasus, the MENA region, and Africa, and whether these developments could trigger new waves of migration. While mass migration to Europe is unlikely in the short term, in the medium term, persistent livelihood crises, the threat of regional armed conflict, and secondary migration movements could combine to increase migratory pressure on Europe.
The full text of the analysis in Hungarian is available here
