On 1 June 2025, Poland’s new president, Karol Nawrocki won in a close election, and his victory ushered in a new era of internal political division. This analysis shows how the relationship between the presidential office and the centrist-liberal government may evolve, with a particular focus on foreign and migration policy. Nawrocki’s conservative values and EU-critical stance could be a source of conflict with the more Europeanist orientation of the government. The paper reviews the ideological background of the campaign, the social fault lines, and international reactions. It provides a detailed analysis of the likely foreign policy and migration trends that could play a key role in shaping Poland’s future position.
The full text of the analysis is available in Hungarian here
